The J Curve: A New Way to Understand Why Nations Rise and FallSimon and Schuster, 15 սեպ, 2006 թ. - 320 էջ Locate nations on the J Curve -- left for authoritarian, right for democratic. Then figure out how to force those on the left to open their societies, rather than encouraging them to shut them tighter by further isolating them. The West's isolation of Kim Jong-il's North Korea gives him the cover he needs to extend his brutal regime (the mistake the U.S. made for a long time with Saddam Hussein and Castro); in Saudi Arabia, western governments should encourage manageable change before the country breaks apart; they should help strengthen China's economy so it can further liberalize; they must encourage Israel to decide what kind of country it will be. Filled with imaginative and surprising examples of how to correct outworn political ideas, The J Curve points the way for western governments to lead the way to a realistic political balance and a healthier economic future. |
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The Far Left Side of the J Curve | 27 |
The Slide Toward Instability | 79 |
The Depths of the J Curve | 147 |
The Right Side of the J Curve | 191 |
Chinas Dilemma | 237 |
Conclusion | 265 |
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American apartheid Arab authoritarian Baath Party benefit Castro challenges China Chinese citizens closed Communist Party conflict country’s create Croat Cuba Cuban curve democracy democratic DPRK elections elite ethnic European figure financial find firms first flow forces foreign global government’s Hugo Chávez India’s influence instability investment Iran Iran’s Iranian Iraq Iraq’s Iraqi Islamic isolation Israel Israeli Kemal Kim Il-Sung Kim Jong-Il kingdom Kosovo leaders leadership left side left-side military million move Muslim nationalist nomic North Korea nuclear officials oligarchs Palestinians party’s People’s percent political and economic president produced protect push Putin Pyongyang regime region religious revenue right side rule Russian Saddam sanctions Saudi Arabia Saudi royals Serbs Shiite shocks social society South Africa Soviet Union stability state’s terrorist threat tion Tito Tito’s transition Turkey Turkey’s Turkish undermine United Wahhabi Washington weapons Yeltsin Yugoslav Yugoslavia