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APPENDIXES TO MARCH 5, 1991 HEARING

(Titles XII and XIII)

Appendix I-Responses to Additional Questions

POST-HEARING QUESTIONS AND ANSWERS

WILLIAM H. YOUNG

ASSISTANT SECRETARY FOR NUCLEAR ENERGY
U.S. DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY

MARCH 5, 1991

Question 1.

QUESTION FROM SENATOR WALLOP

ELECTRICITY SUPPLY

The Department of Energy estimates that a combination of increases in demand and retirement of existing electric generation capacity will require an additional 200,000 megawatts of capacity by the year 2010.

a.

Would you agree with Mr. Wolfe's statement that until
recently there has been considerable excess electrical
capacity in this country but this era is coming to an end?

Answer: Some regions of the U.S. had excess generating

capacity through the 1980's. However, during the
late 1980's, some regions notably New England

had limited capacity reserves and experienced
occasional degradation in service because of
insufficient generating capacity.

b.

We expect regions that still have excess capacity
to need new capacity by the mid or late 1990's.
The era of excess capacity is coming to an end,
but there is substantial variance from region to
region.

Faced with today's environmental laws such as the Clean Air
Act, in your judgement, can this requirement for new
generation capacity be satisfied without a greater role for
nuclear power than is possible under present circumstances?

Answer:

Theoretically, the requirement for new generating

capacity could be satisfied without additional
nuclear capacity, even with passage of the Clean
Air Act. A combination of conservation, natural
gas, renewables, and innovative clean coal

technologies that emit low levels of sulfur

dioxide and nitrous oxides could meet our Nation's

future electricity requirements and satisfy the

requirements of the Clean Air Act.

C.

However, without nuclear power as an option, we
would lose one of our cleanest generation
technologies and one which presently provides
about 20 percent of our electricity. Further,
growing concerns about global climate change may
make it particularly important for us to rely more
upon generation technologies which do not emit
greenhouse gases. Accordingly, a resource mix
that excludes nuclear power is unlikely to be the
most economic, reliable, or environmentally benign
means of meeting future electricity requirements.

In your judgement, can the third world meet its anticipated requirements for electricity without a large expansion of nuclear power?

Answer: The third world can and is expected to meet its

anticipated requirements for electricity without a
large expansion of nuclear power. Nuclear power
currently provides only 1.5 percent of the third
world's energy. The Department of Energy's

forecasts show that nuclear power's share is

expected to increase to only about 2.5 percent by

Third world utilization of nuclear power is constrained by several factors. One is capital availability. Nuclear power plants are very capital intensive and many third world countries will be unable to raise the necessary capital. second constraint is the ability of electrical networks in developing countries to absorb a large generating capacity addition. Plants using

existing nuclear technology tend to be 1000 MW or larger. Mid-size (600 MW) plants may be

commercially available by the mid-1990's.

However, even these plants may be too large for a developing country to absorb on its grid. Another constraint is the lack of technical expertise to construct or operate such facilities.

In

addition, nuclear proliferation concerns may

inhibit the use of this technology in developing countries.

As a result, third world countries are not

expected to be significant growth markets for nuclear power.

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5

QUESTIONS FROM CHAIRMAN JOHNSTON

The Process Laid Out In Title XII

Questions 1: In your testimony, you identify three main problems with the provisions of title XII -- that DOE is already doing most of the things envisioned under section 12005; that it is too early to expect a utility to order a nuclear plant, even with the benefits of section 12005; and that direct federal government participation in a demonstration project would be inappropriate.

Answer:

This is a fairly strong rejection of title XII.

Do you really believe that DOE can do everything necessary to revive the nuclear option without any endorsement or encouragement by Congress?

No, we believe that congressional endorsement of the nuclear option is important and that specific action by the Congress in a number of areas is necessary for the revitalization of nuclear power.

The National Energy Strategy (NES) addresses four prerequisites to future nuclear powerplant orders. They include maintaining exacting safety and design standards, reducing economic risks, reducing regulatory risks, and establishing an effective high-level nuclear waste management program. As you are aware, the Administration has submitted legislation to implement its NES. Two aspects of our legislation are vitally important to the future of nuclear power and require congressional action at the earliest possible time; namely, reform of the nuclear licensing and regulatory process and measures needed to site and license a

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